DREAM 11 PREVIEW
Friday, October 2nd, 2009Friday, October 02, 2009
by (trios@sherdog.com)
The sport’s most anticipated rubber match, the semi-finals and final of a stacked featherweight tournament and the inclusion of Hong Man Choi and Bob Sapp highlight Dream 11 this Tuesday at the Yokohama Arena in Yokohama, Japan.
One can always expect the unusual avalanche of sideshow matchmaking from a Dream event, but the lightweight title bout between reigning champion Joachim Hansen and submission virtuoso Shinya Aoki should be enough to cleanse the palate of any fight snob. Backing up the all-star showdown are the final two rounds of the Dream featherweight grand prix, which features the ongoing Cinderella run of Joe Warren, Hiroyuki Takaya’s attempt to erase the bitter memory of his disappointing World Extreme Cagefighting stint and a pair of submission specialists in Bibiano Fernandes and Hideo Tokoro.
If the promise of such violent goodness does not reel you in, Ikuhisa Minowa will take on Choi in a match that defies any preconceived notions you may have of logic. Get in line for another round of fight analysis.
Dream Lightweight Championship
Joachim Hansen vs. Shinya Aoki
The Breakdown: The rubber match is a rarity in mixed martial arts, and perhaps the last place one would expect to find it is in the chaotic matchmaking web Dream has woven together. Nevertheless, a third bout between Aoki and Hansen, which will decide the future of the lightweight title Hansen currently holds, headlines its latest show.
Anyone with a working Internet connection and access to an MMA forum saw the clip of Aoki’s brilliant gogoplata on Hansen in their first match. However, Hansen learned his lesson in the rematch and scored an abruptly brutal technical knockout over Aoki after nearly getting ensnared in another gogoplata. Despite scoring that win on the mat, Hansen simply does not reside in the same rainbow-colored universe as Aoki when it comes to grappling and will have to rely heavily on his powerful strikes to make up the difference.
In both fights, Aoki took down Hansen with relative ease, using slick outside leg trips and textbook guard pulls. Hansen often made the mistake of loading up on unsightly lead rights that only made Aoki’s takedown attempts much easier to execute. Expecting Hansen to do anything but wing telegraphed power shots seems unrealistic, so Aoki will have the same openings for takedowns he has grown accustomed to seeing. Will Aoki will stay disciplined enough on the mat to keep himself safe from Hansen’s death-from-above ground-and-pound?
There are certain grappling techniques that are not supposed to work in MMA, and Aoki has proven that sort of hard-line thinking wrong time and time again by employing everything from the De La Riva open guard to a hyperactive spider guard. While that elite technical prowess can befuddle even the most talented of grapplers, it remains a risky way to make a living; Hansen has already proven he can punch his fists through the holes in Aoki’s defense. Aoki’s willingness to temper his game against a grappler of Hansen’s caliber will be key, as Aoki’s game is only effective when he keeps his opponents thinking defense; that allows him the time to work them into an inescapable string of submission attempts.
The X Factor: Watching Aoki work on the mat is akin to watching Deep Blue turn Garry Kasparov into a sputtering pile of brain cells — truly awe-inspiring and demands your utmost attention. Of course, Deep Blue never had to worry about Kasparov taking a baseball bat to its motherboard. That is the luxury Aoki does not enjoy, as he still reacts to getting hit as if strikes were illegal. The rematch between these two proved Hansen only needs a small opening to probe Aoki’s brain with his fists. If Aoki cannot put away Hansen early, he will only give him more time to turn the tables and bash him over the head.
The Bottom Line: Over the course of two matches, Hansen has managed all of five seconds worth of effective offense against Aoki. Granted, those five seconds sent Aoki to bed with no dinner, but that was more a strategic blunder on Aoki’s part than anything else. That same opportunity will not present itself to Hansen again, as he gets caught in a heel hook early in the first round and Aoki ascends to the top of the trans-Pacific heap.
Stephen Martinez/Sherdog.com
learned much from his past.
Tatsuya Kawajiri vs. Melchor Manibusan
The Breakdown: Someone in the Dream front office has a serious man crush on “Crusher.” Simply put, Kawajiri is better than Manibusan at everything. Manibusan has not fought in three years, holds a 2-3 record and has no business even entertaining the notion of taking this fight. Someone out there may try and convince us that Manibusan’s amateur wrestling credentials and submission background add an interesting wrinkle to this fight; those people are crazy.
Kawajiri is an excellent wrestler who can stuff takedowns as easily as he executes them. Even if Manibusan can ground Kawajiri, he does not have the game to finish him and will have to deal with Kawajiri’s ever-improving striking skills sooner or later.
The X Factor: No matter how obvious the outcome of a fight may appear, a variable usually exists that can throw everything out of whack. Not this time. Unless Manibusan has somehow spent the past three years recreating Rocky Balboa’s training camp for Ivan Drago and the Clubber Lang rematch, one can feel comfortable banking on Kawajiri.
The Bottom Line: In all honesty, these kinds of throw-away matches often yield less than inspiring results. If Kawajiri is not tuned in for a fight, we may get a boring lopsided decision instead a scintillating knockout. Either way, Kawajiri takes the win, Manibusan gets a paycheck and everyone walks away happy; that’s what it’s all about anyway. Seriously, check Dream’s rulebook.
Daniel Herbertson/Sherdog.com
ordinary MMA newcomer.
Dream Featherweight Grand Prix Semi-Final
Bibiano Fernandes vs. Joe Warren
The Breakdown: A super-prospect takes on one of the most underrated grapplers in the game, as Warren locks up with Fernandes in a match that pits Warren’s sterling wrestling game against Fernandes’ fearsome jiu-jitsu style. The real difference maker, however, may be Warren’s surprising boxing skills, which could give a mat-minded Fernandes fits. By the same token, Warren’s jiu-jitsu has never been tested, and Fernandes will have no qualms about pulling guard and trying to tie the American in knots. Can Warren defend that strategy? It makes for a fascinating question since he has already proven he knows so much more than any rookie should.
The X Factor: Natural talent can get you a long way in a developing sport, and Warren is testing the limits of that notion against some elite opposition. Taking a split decision over Norifumi Yamamoto in Japan was a testament to Warren’s moxie, but pure ability is mostly inapplicable when it comes to the technical intricacies of grappling. It will take some exceptionally disciplined strategy by Warren to keep his airway and arms out of harm’s way. Even then, one has to wonder if Warren grasps just how thin a line he will have to walk to keep his undefeated record intact.
The Bottom Line: Striking will be what turns this fight on its head, as Warren sprawls and brawls his way to a textbook decision win. Time spent on the mat will consist of Warren playing it conservative and taking the nearest exit, as Fernandes struggles to find a groove in between getting his chin checked by Warren’s fists. The clock will prove Fernandes’ greatest enemy, as Warren plays it to his favor en route to stamping his ticket to the final.
Stephen Martinez/Sherdog.com
Dream Featherweight Grand Prix Semi-Final
Hiroyuki Takaya vs. Hideo Tokoro
The Breakdown: You are not likely to ever see a fight with two more disparate fighters. Takaya’s biker gangster persona seems perfectly suited for his kickboxing style, while Tokoro’s janitor turned superstar story has warmed the hearts of millions; his submissions routinely remind opponents he is more than just a Lifetime movie of the week candidate. What Tokoro may lack is the ability to plant Takaya on his back long enough to grab hold of something and torque it, especially considering Takaya’s underrated submission defense and knack for translating his striking to the mat. Unless Tokoro can draw Takaya into a grappling match by hook or crook, his one-dimensional style will not do him any favors in this fight.
The X Factor: Takaya often makes the mistake of over-committing on his strikes and leaving himself vulnerable to takedowns. He also generates a world of power on his power shots, but that will not help him much if he whiffs and fails to recover his guard before Tokoro takes this fight somewhere from which he cannot escape.
The Bottom Line: This fight will be defined by poor decision making on the part of Tokoro, as he repeats the same mistake he has made in the past and tries his luck on the feet against a superior striker. The end game will be predictable for us and painful for Tokoro, who ends up splayed out on the canvas while Takaya takes the second ticket to the final.
Every so often, tournaments work out. Let’s hope this one does. Takaya and Warren in the same ring seems like the only way anyone can justify watching Bob Sapp fight. As for the potential matchup itself, Warren would do well ditching his ambitions as a striker in favor of grounding-and-pounding Takaya for as long as it takes someone to hand him the grand prix title.
While Warren’s hands are exceptionally skilled at this point, he would be smart to play it safe against a more versatile and learned striker — especially when you consider Takaya’s guard game is not particularly sharp offensively. Plus, he lacks the skill needed to hold down a wrestler of Warren’s caliber.
Warren may lack the good sense to resist trading with Takaya, but he will eventually take him down and do what everyone in his corner hopes — notch a tidy ground-and-pound TKO. With that win, Warren will have gone from relative unknown to featherweight standard bearer in the time it takes an average person to plan a vacation.
Trevor Williams/Sherdog.com
Dream Super Hulk Tournament Semi-Final
Hong Man Choi vs. Ikuhisa Minowa
The Breakdown: The first semi-final bout of Dream’s Super Hulk tournament matches the sufficiently hulky Choi against the decidedly un-hulky Minowa. For the uninitiated, Choi is a big dude — really big, in fact — and that should make for something entertaining against Minowa’s somewhat mentally disturbed approach to fighting.
A self-styled giant killer, Minowa’s unpredictability relies on sleight of hand and the occasional display of submission brilliance, mixed in with moves better suited to the world of professional wrestling. Most of Choi’s skill comes from being built like South Korea’s answer to Shaquille O’Neal. That likely will not be enough to beat someone who has actual MMA training, regardless of how schizophrenic Minowa may seem.
The X Factor: If Minowa has enough crazy in him to try and tangle with Choi on the feet, it will not take long for Choi to prove that someone his size does not need much acceleration to create the force it takes to send someone to the hospital. If nothing else, this fight will be a great measuring stick for Minowa’s craziness.
The Bottom Line: If Minowa had the sense to try and tap out Bob Sapp, he should follow suit against Choi, who may be even less capable of defending a submission than his equally massive counterpart. Watch for some of Minowa’s usual opening bell lunacy before he shoots a single leg and attaches himself to one of Choi’s limbs. Once that happens, Minowa will have Choi tapping out in short order, giving way to another one of his instant classic post-fight promos.
Stephen Martinez/Sherdog.com
Dream Super Hulk Tournament Semi-Final
Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou vs. Bob Sapp
The Breakdown: After getting bounced out in the Super Hulk tournament’s opening round, Sapp gets a second chance thanks to Gegard Mousasi’s stateside move, but it comes against the prohibitive favorite. Considering Sokoudjou’s powerful striking and nasty arsenal of judo throws, Sapp’s certified ginormous frame does not seem like much of an asset. Most of Sapp’s offense comes from clubbing his opponents or lying on top and then clubbing them; that is not much of a strategy against a truly skilled opponent like Sokoudjou.
The X Factor: Throughout Sokoudjou’s career, conditioning has cost him multiple fights he was otherwise winning. While Sapp is hardly a supremely conditioned athlete, if Sokoudjou hits empty early, there is no telling how he will react to suddenly being outgunned against a man who can bench press him as a warm-up. Sokoudjou remains the favorite and with good reason, but his cardio has kept him from many a win, and it could just as easily keep him from a victory everyone has assumed was his.
DREAM on Friday announced that it has added five fights to its DREAM.3 event, which is scheduled to take place on May 11 at the Saitama Super Arena. The second round of the DREAM Lightweight Grand Prix highlights the show, but significant individual bouts have been added as well.
Dream parent company Fight Entertainment Group has given resolve to the debacle between 
Dream on Saturday not only held the first round of its Lightweight Grand Prix, but it also announced several of the participants for its Middleweight Grand Prix.Returning to the Saitama Super Arena on April 29, Dream’s middleweight tournament now officially includes among its participants: Kazushi Sakuraba, Yoshihiro Akiyama, Masakatsu Funaki, Dong-Sik Yoon, Taiei Kin, Shungo Oyama, and Ikuhisa Minowa.Sakuraba, interestingly enough, holds victories over Funaki, Yoon, and Minowa. He was also involved in a controversial match with Akiyama. Akiyama had initially won the bout with Sakuraba, but it was later ruled a no contest when it was revealed that Akiyama had illegally applied a lotion to his skin that made him slippery.Funaki’s loss to Sakuraba on Dec. 31, 2007, marked his return to active mixed martial arts competition after more than seven years of inactivity.Maintaining a 10-1 professional record with two no contests, Akiyama’s most recent bout was a no contest with Kazuo Misaki at the Dec. 31 Yarennoka event in Japan. Akiyama was knocked out by a Misaki soccer kick, which upon review was deemed an illegal blow because Akiyama was ruled to be a downed opponent at the time the kick landed.Yoon lost the first four bouts of his career, but has rebounded of late, putting together three straight victories against solid competition.A karate stylist, Kin has had a short career in MMA, with a 2-2 record. The first bout of his career was a loss to Akiyama. Reported by MMAWeekly.Oyama is a journeyman fighter that has constantly bounced back and forth between winning and losing in his career. His most recent performance was an impressive finish of Carlos Newton at a K-1 Hero’s event late last year.Another career journeyman, Minowa last competed on Saturday’s inaugural Dream event. He dispatched Kwan Bun Lee with a kneebar little more than a minute into the bout.Although neither was officially announced by Dream, No. 4 ranked middleweight Denis Kang and Japanese fighter Kiyoshi Tamura are both rumored to be part of the Middleweight Grand Prix field, as well.
TOKYO – Dreams do come true. Thousands of fans on Saturday will pack the Saitama Super Arena and millions more will watch on television across Japan as many of the world’s best mixed martial arts fighters meet in Fight Entertainment Group’s DREAM.1 Lightweight Grand Prix 2008 first round.